We Need a Two Front Approach: A Hackett Post-Mortem

Now that Paul Hackett lost his race, the inevitable incriminations will begin. The DLCers will claim that they knew all along that Hackett couldn't win, and that supporting him was a waste of time (of course, they never predicted that he would finish so strongly in a Republican stronghold). The grassroots will claim that if the DLC had supported him several months ago, he could have made Schmidt look even worse (and he would have gotten his message out more effectively). The grassroots will also claim that this is a success for the grassroots, mobilization, the internets, etc.

Wrong. We lost. A few years back, the Washington Redskins'-America's politically incorrect football team-coach used to talk about how they were "making progress." Hall of Fame quarterback Sonny Jurgensen once growled (probably more than once) that instead of making progress, they should try winning some football games. We won't take back the House until we win seats. Pryhhic victories don't cut it at this point.

Having said that, I would like to suggest that rather than engaging in the traditional circular firing squad, we adopt a two-prong strategy. Let the DLC and the party establishment support their 30-40 candidates that are either on the fence or could likely knock off a Republican. Meanwhile, let the grassroots support all the wildcards.

What do I mean by that? The lesson I think we should learn from Paul Hackett's race is that many Congressional races will be very close. To paraphrase the IRA, we only have to get lucky once (or actually about ten times). I figure there will be about 200 seats (maybe 180) that are low probability wins for the Democrats. We should mobilize enough cash and divvy it out to each of these candidates (and some might be excluded because they are really awful). If 500,000 Democrats on average gave $100 to such a fund, that would be roughly $250,000 per longshot candidate. We could even call it the Democratic Insurgency Fund (just kidding).

Would that outspend incumbent Republican candidates? Of course not. But it would allow Democratic challengers to lurk around, waiting for targets of opportunity. Like I said, we don't have to get lucky too often. If nothing else, this would pin down Republicans and make it harder for them to marshall their resources: congressmen would be less likely to support other party members financially because they would have to worry about their own races. As an added bonus, it would motivate the local Democratic infrastructures for both Senate and local races.

So let the DLC claim the easy victories-more power to them. Fellow grassrooters, the greater the hardship, the greater the glory.

This was cross-posted here.



Display:


I (3.00 / 0)

don't want to fund losing candidates.  I don't want to be responsible for funding long-shot candidates.  If we only fund long-shots, we'll always be in the periphery, and we'll never become main-stream.  
Invest in nature
by NCDem on Wed Aug 03, 2005 at 09:00:05 AM EST

Re: I (3.00 / 1)

I don't want to fund losing candidates either.  But the DNC has the 'solid' candidates covered pretty well (we actually did well in the last cycle).  But we need to take the fight to the GOP outside of the safe areas.  In essence, we could lose most of the battles and still win the war (the House).  As long as the GOP has 'safe havens', we will always be in a defensive, reactive posture;  Democrats shouldn't adopt a 'Green Zone' strategy.

The other argument for my strategy is that 'raising the flag' in GOP areas is important in local races.  As someone pointed out (I'm sorry, I can't remember where), a lot of school ballot initiatives that are usually shot down, passed in the 2nd district-that will make a real difference in thousands of lives.  If we're serious about the 'grassroots', we have to have a real presence in every district to help Democratic initiatives and local Democratic politicians-who are the party's future.  

by mfeld356 on Wed Aug 03, 2005 at 06:05:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I love this strategy. (2.00 / 3)

I think we should let the DLC show its irrelevence, support dean in his 50 state strategy, and take the IRA as our model.  We should become accustomed to sending in the odd $10-20 a week donation (hell, even $5. a week to one candidate would be great) to some promising stealth candidates nationwide, then when we fall in love in primary season, love bomb our beloved, write diaries about her or him, and git 'er done.  We in the netroots are just going to have to resign ourselves to making those small, regular donations for the rest of our lives.  I am willing to give up my truffle oil on my mashed potatoes, my spouse has given up his one weekly $10. cigar, we no longer spend more than $10. a ticket for entertainment once a month, we will take no more vacations to that favorite place on the Colorado River in Marble Falls until Texas has a majority of Dems, and, most importantly for us, we give no more money to the church.  It all goes to Dems who will work for a just country.  After this country gets back on track, the church may get our money again.  And we used to really tithe!  10% of gross, yessiree.  

Now, if I may recommend to you my favorite long shot, John Courage of Texas 21, running against Tom Delay's lap dog, Lamar Smith, in 2006.  Mmmm.  Maybe John is not such a long shot, after all.  He's not quite as charismatic as Hackett, no picture of him getting a haircut holding a weapon, but, sheesh - a name like John Courage should be worth something, right?

by dksbook on Wed Aug 03, 2005 at 09:53:47 AM EST

Re: your strategy. (none / 0)

you could campaign for support
by giving us a full bio of Courage
and his ties to the district, where
born and when, went to what college,
military service if any, church,
line of work, elected or appointed
political jobs held and / or races
lost, website address ( picture of
wife, kids, and dogs never hurt ).

and, well, we know what kind of
guy Lamar is, but a reminder of
particular votes, bills sponsored,
contributions from corrupt lobbyists,
etc. to get the blood boiling might
help shake loose contributions.

your diary should also include
a description of the district. a map
if possible, some demographic
breakdown and population trends
from the last couple of censuses
( e.g., I expect Hispanic share is
growing ), and some breakdown
of the Dem / Repub share of vote
in elections, at least  2000 and since.

include specific reasons to make
the case why THIS district might
be ripe for change ( e.g., Lamar
getting older, fatter, uglier, or big
military base closing, or frauds
uncovered or hinted at. etc. )

link your diary on John Courage to
an ActBlue account for his campaign.
I like the counter at the top of the
ActBlue page showing the number
of conributors and the rising total
amount given for the candidate.
when those figures are growing,
I feel like putting more in the pot.

update and freshen up your diary
with campaign news or more info,
and repost it a couple more times
here or at Kos etc. before the end
of the year. if you don't begin to get
"recommended"s or see lots of
excited comments, move on.

by Woody on Wed Aug 03, 2005 at 12:21:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Victory in loss (3.00 / 1)

While we technically did lose, I submit to you that in this case, this loss can be turned into a much bigger victory. Here is why (reposting from an earlier comment of mine).

Had Paul Hackett won, he would've been just another lame duck democratic congressman laying eggs in the US House of rep.s (the minority party gets to do diddly under the current structure, esp. when GOP is the majority since they seem to enforce party-line much more strictly).

Now, having scored what I think is a symbolic victory, he can stay back in Ohio, and the party can try to develop a strategy around his electrifying challenge in CD-2. I think he can end up having a much greater impact having lost.

And no, I am not not trying to spin a loss into a victory.

Neo

CLICK to Draft Al Gore!
by NeoLiberal on Wed Aug 03, 2005 at 09:55:48 AM EST

well actually (3.00 / 0)

you are.
Invest in nature
by NCDem on Wed Aug 03, 2005 at 12:38:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: well actually (3.00 / 0)

thanks for the feedback :)

Neo

CLICK to Draft Al Gore!
by NeoLiberal on Wed Aug 03, 2005 at 02:10:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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